Potomac River flow has remained relatively steady over the past week. According to National Weather Service forecasts, we can expect up to 2 inches of rain during the next three days, mainly on Friday, as the remnants of tropical storm Nicole pass over the basin.
Recent basin-wide average precipitation (above Little Falls):
(based on CO-OP's Low Flow Forecast System analysis of Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center (MARFC) gridded multisensor precipitation estimates)
Yesterday's area-weighted average basin precipitation: 0 (inches)
Past 3-day cumulative area-weighted average basin precipitation: 0 (inches)
Past 7-day cumulative area-weighted average basin precipitation: 0.08 (inches)
Little Falls gage flow 2022-11-09: 1176 MGD (1820 cfs)
Little Falls gage flow 2022-11-10: 1209 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (1870 cfs)
Note: Gage flow at Little Falls is measured after water supply withdrawals.
Point of Rocks flow 2022-11-09: 1189 MGD (1840 cfs)
Point of Rocks flow 2022-11-10: 1222 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (1890 cfs)
Yesterday's Washington metropolitan area Potomac River withdrawals and discharges (2022-11-09):
Fairfax Water Corbalis withdrawal (Potomac): 70 MGD
WSSC Water Potomac withdrawal: 126 MGD
Washington Aqueduct withdrawal: 136 MGD
Loudoun Water withdrawal: 14 MGD
Loudoun Water Broad Run discharge: 6 MGD
Total Potomac withdrawal: 346 MGD
Total net Potomac withdrawal: 340 MGD
Loudoun Water Potomac River (PR) flow values for drought operations protocol (based on yesterday's flows):
QPR: 1840 cfs
QPR, obs: 1840 cfs
QPR, WS: 0 cfs
Note to Loudoun Water: See NWS ensemble flow forecasts (HEFS, GEFS, NAEFS) for Point of Rocks flow for the next 7 days – see https://www.weather.gov/erh/mmefs_marfc?id=PORM2&model=NAEFS.