Daily Potomac flow and demand update (Monday, 2024-07-29)

Submitted by aseck on Mon, 07/29/2024 - 12:26

Situational Awareness (Monday, 2024-07-29)

According to predictions from the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center, trace amounts of rain may occur over the next 24 hours, with up to 0.5 inches expected over the next three days.

Special Conditions

None

Daily flows:

Little Falls gage flow 2024-07-28: 937 MGD (1450 cfs)

Little Falls gage flow 2024-07-29: 860 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (1330 cfs)

Note: Gage flow at Little Falls is measured after water supply withdrawals.

Point of Rocks flow 2024-07-28: 1144 MGD (1770 cfs)

Point of Rocks flow 2024-07-29: 1086 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (1680 cfs)

Yesterday's estimated daily flows:

Great Falls estimated flow 2024-07-28: 988 MGD (1529 cfs)

Note: Estimated flow below Great Falls intake is flow at Little Falls plus Little Falls water supply withdrawal.

Yesterday's Washington metropolitan area Potomac River withdrawals and discharges (2024-07-28):

Fairfax Water Corbalis withdrawal - Potomac: 129 MGD

WSSC Water Potomac withdrawal: 155 MGD

Washington Aqueduct withdrawal - Great Falls: 85 MGD

Washington Aqueduct withdrawal - Little Falls: 51 MGD

Loudoun Water withdrawal: 13 MGD

Loudoun Water Broad Run discharge: 5 MGD

Total Potomac withdrawal: 432 MGD

Total net Potomac withdrawal: 428 MGD

Loudoun Water Potomac River (PR) flow values for drought operations protocol (based on yesterday's flows):

QPR: 1770 cfs

QPR, obs: 1770 cfs

QPR, WS: 0 cfs

Note to Loudoun Water: See NWS ensemble flow forecasts (HEFS, GEFS, NAEFS) for Point of Rocks flow for the next 7 days – https://www.weather.gov/erh/mmefs_marfc?id=PORM2&model=NAEFS. See US Army Corps of Engineers Potomac River Basin page for observed releases from Savage and Jennings Randolph reservoirs - https://www.nab-wc.usace.army.mil/nab/poto.html; See US Army Corps of Engineers North Branch Potomac River and Savage River page for scheduled releases - https://www.nab-wc.usace.army.mil/nab/northBranch.html.

Note: Potomac River flow at Point of Rocks has dropped below the low-flow threshold of 2,000 cfs. When this occurs, per the Water Supply Coordination Agreement of 1982, CO-OP begins daily monitoring and reporting of Potomac flows and withdrawals on behalf of the CO-OP suppliers, Fairfax Water, Washington Aqueduct, and WSSC Water. Suppliers can review data at CO-OP's Data Portal at www.icprbcoop.org. Reports formatted in approved templates should be submitted by email to coop@icprb.org by 8:00 am for automated processing. Published monitoring reports are at http://icprbcoop.org/products/monitoring-reports.

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Daily Monitoring