Situational Awareness (Friday, 2025-09-12)
According to the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center predictions, no rain is expected in the basin over the next three days. Trace amounts of rain are possible over the next seven days.
Special Conditions
None
Daily flows:
Little Falls gage flow 2025-09-11: 963 MGD (1490 cfs)
Little Falls gage flow 2025-09-12: 937 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (1450 cfs)
Note: Gage flow at Little Falls is measured after water supply withdrawals.
Point of Rocks flow 2025-09-11: 1099 MGD (1700 cfs)
Point of Rocks flow 2025-09-12: 1086 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (1680 cfs)
Yesterday's estimated daily flows:
Great Falls estimated flow 2025-09-11: 963 MGD (1490 cfs)
Note: Estimated flow below Great Falls intake is flow at Little Falls plus Little Falls water supply withdrawal.
Yesterday's Washington metropolitan area Potomac River withdrawals and discharges (2025-09-11):
Fairfax Water Corbalis withdrawal - Potomac: 113 MGD
WSSC Water Potomac withdrawal: 128 MGD
Washington Aqueduct withdrawal - Great Falls: 128 MGD
Washington Aqueduct withdrawal - Little Falls: 0 MGD
Loudoun Water withdrawal: 11 MGD
Loudoun Water Broad Run discharge: 7 MGD
Total Potomac withdrawal: 380 MGD
Total net Potomac withdrawal: 373 MGD
Loudoun Water Potomac River (PR) flow values for drought operations protocol (based on yesterday's flows):
QPR: 1700 cfs
QPR, obs: 1700 cfs
QPR, WS: 0 cfs
Note to Loudoun Water: See NWS ensemble flow forecasts (HEFS, GEFS, NAEFS) for Point of Rocks flow for the next 7 days – https://www.weather.gov/erh/mmefs_marfc?id=PORM2&model=NAEFS. See US Army Corps of Engineers Potomac River Basin page for observed releases from Savage and Jennings Randolph reservoirs - https://www.nab-wc.usace.army.mil/nab/poto.html; See US Army Corps of Engineers North Branch Potomac River and Savage River page for scheduled releases - https://www.nab-wc.usace.army.mil/nab/northBranch.html.
Note: Potomac River flow at Point of Rocks has dropped below the low-flow threshold of 2,000 cfs. When this occurs, per the Water Supply Coordination Agreement of 1982, CO-OP begins daily monitoring and reporting of Potomac flows and withdrawals on behalf of the CO-OP suppliers, Fairfax Water, Washington Aqueduct, and WSSC Water. Suppliers can review data at CO-OP's Data Portal at www.icprbcoop.org. Reports formatted in approved templates should be submitted by email to coop@icprb.org by 8:00 am for automated processing. Published monitoring reports are at http://icprbcoop.org/products/monitoring-reports.