Situational Awareness (Friday, 2025-10-10)
No rainfall was observed over the past 24 hours. According to forecasts from the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center, average basin rainfall over the next three days is expected to range from 0.25 to 1 inch. The week-long outlook anticipates similar or slightly higher totals across the basin.
Special Conditions
None
Daily flows:
Little Falls gage flow 2025-10-09: 924 MGD (1430 cfs)
Little Falls gage flow 2025-10-10: 911 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (1410 cfs)
Note: Gage flow at Little Falls is measured after water supply withdrawals.
Point of Rocks flow 2025-10-09: 1144 MGD (1770 cfs)
Point of Rocks flow 2025-10-10: 1383 MGD (est., based on recently available real-time data) (2140 cfs)
Yesterday's estimated daily flows:
Great Falls estimated flow 2025-10-09: 924 MGD (1430 cfs)
Note: Estimated flow below Great Falls intake is flow at Little Falls plus Little Falls water supply withdrawal.
Yesterday's Washington metropolitan area Potomac River withdrawals and discharges (2025-10-09):
Fairfax Water Corbalis withdrawal - Potomac: 95 MGD
WSSC Water Potomac withdrawal: 122 MGD
Washington Aqueduct withdrawal - Great Falls: 144 MGD
Washington Aqueduct withdrawal - Little Falls: 0 MGD
Loudoun Water withdrawal: 12 MGD
Loudoun Water Broad Run discharge: 6 MGD
Total Potomac withdrawal: 373 MGD
Total net Potomac withdrawal: 366 MGD
Loudoun Water Potomac River (PR) flow values for drought operations protocol (based on yesterday's flows):
QPR: 1770 cfs
QPR, obs: 1770 cfs
QPR, WS: 0 cfs
Note to Loudoun Water: See NWS ensemble flow forecasts (HEFS, GEFS, NAEFS) for Point of Rocks flow for the next 7 days – https://www.weather.gov/erh/mmefs_marfc?id=PORM2&model=NAEFS. See US Army Corps of Engineers Potomac River Basin page for observed releases from Savage and Jennings Randolph reservoirs - https://water.usace.army.mil/office/nab/; See US Army Corps of Engineers North Branch Potomac River and Savage River page for scheduled releases - https://www.nab-wc.usace.army.mil/nab/northBranch.html.
Note: Potomac River flow at Point of Rocks has dropped below the low-flow threshold of 2,000 cfs. When this occurs, per the Water Supply Coordination Agreement of 1982, CO-OP begins daily monitoring and reporting of Potomac flows and withdrawals on behalf of the CO-OP suppliers, Fairfax Water, Washington Aqueduct, and WSSC Water. Suppliers can review data at CO-OP's Data Portal at www.icprbcoop.org. Reports formatted in approved templates should be submitted by email to coop@icprb.org by 8:00 am for automated processing. Published monitoring reports are at http://icprbcoop.org/products/monitoring-reports.