Situational Awareness (Thursday, 2024-06-27)
Potomac River flows continue to slowly decline due to persistent dry conditions. According to the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center predictions, a basin-wide average of 0.3 inches of rain is expected over the next 24 hours and 0.5 inches over the next three days. The week-long outlook calls for approximately 0.7 inches of rain in the basin above Little Falls.
Situational Awareness (Wednesday, 2024-06-26):
According to the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center predictions, the next 24 hours may see 0.2 inches of rain. Over the next 3 days, the average basin rainfall may be around 0.5 inches. The week-long outlook expects a total of approximately 0.7 inches of rain in the basin.
Situational Awareness (Tuesday, 2024-06-25)
CO-OP is initiating daily drought monitoring and reporting today because Potomac River flow at the US Geological Survey’s gage at Point of Rocks, Maryland, has fallen below 2000 cubic feet per second (cfs), CO-OP's daily monitoring threshold. According to the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center (MARFC) quantitative precipitation forecasts, 0.5 inches of rain are expected over the next 3 days. MARFC ensemble forecasts predict additional rain and rising river flows over the next 10 days.
Situational Awareness (Wednesday, 2023-11-22)
CO-OP is suspending drought operations because flow at the US Geological Survey’s gage at Point of Rocks, Maryland, has risen above the daily monitoring threshold of 2000 cfs as the basin received an average of about 1.4 inches of rain yesterday. Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center predictions indicate that flows are expected to remain above the daily monitoring threshold for at least the next 10 days.
Situational Awareness (Tuesday, 2023-11-21)
Dry conditions have continued, though Potomac River flows have been holding relatively steady in recent weeks. Forecasts call for a substantial amount of rain in the Potomac basin over the coming days: approximately 1.3 inches over the next 24 hours and 2 inches over the next 3 days. We hope this doesn’t cause too much of a problem for your family’s Thanksgiving travel plans, but we are grateful for getting some relief from this drought!
Situational Awareness (Monday, 2023-11-20)
According to the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center, the basin will be dry on Monday and then receive rain on Tuesday. The following 3-day basin average precipitation total is 1.6 inches, with possible precipitation in the 1 to 2 inches range. This precipitation forecast may produce river and creek rises in streamflow on Tuesday and Wednesday. Currently, Shepherdstown and Point of Rocks USGS gage flows remain steady.
Situational Awareness (Sunday, 2023-11-19)
River flows continue to remain steady. According to the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center predictions, 0.8 inches of rain are expected over the next 3 days, and a total of 1.5 inches over the next week.
Situational Awareness (Saturday, 2023-11-18)
According to the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center predictions, the next 3 days may see 0.1 inches of rain. The week-long outlook is more promising, with a total of approximately 1.4 inches of rain expected in the basin.
Situational Awareness (Friday, 2023-11-17)
River flows have been mostly holding steady over the past week. No rain fell in the basin yesterday. A trace amount of rain is expected over the next 3 days.
Situational Awareness (Thursday, 2023-11-16)
River flows have been mostly holding steady over the past week. No rain fell in the basin yesterday. About ¼ of an inch of rain is expected over the next 3 days. The rainfall outlook for the next seven days is very promising, with a forecasted total of about 1.3 inches.